Author: Will Sommer (owner)
I recently did a Q & A with Toby Hyde of Mets Minor League Blog. If you have any interest whatsoever in the Mets minor league system check his site out. Hope you enjoy.
WS: Please rate the Mets top ten prospects.
TH: I had planned to do an in-season top-ten, but realized as I was doing
it that I was too influenced by current events and the prospects I'd
seen most recently to be really fair about it. Moreover, I wanted it
to be a strong list, not some hurried piece. To do it the way I want,
I need to spend some time with the players'
stats and bios and integrate other opinions from scouts and executives.
When I do a top prospects list it will be deeper
than 10. Right now I'm thinking about going 31 deep in honor of Mike
Piazza. Watch for it soon at
metsminorleagueblog.com.
WS: Are you concerned with Ike Davis' and Reese Havens'
starts to their professional career?
TH: Yes and no.
Give Havens a mulligan. Scouts universally liked his bat when he
was in the lineup.
Sure, it's frustrating to be injured, even more for him than for fans,
but injuries happen.
Davis dealt with some nicks during the college season which might
have affected his pro debut as well. There were scouts who looked at
his athleticism and raw power in BP and found reason to be confident in
his ability to adjust. However, there were others who weren't so sure
based the mechanics of his swing that it was all going to work for
him. From a pure production perspective, I expect much more from an
experienced college hitter drafted in the first round playing in the
New York Penn League even though Keyspan Park is murder on lefthanded
power hitters. If you want to be optimistic about him, he finished
August on a nine-game hit streak while showing vastly improved plate
discipline (15 BB and 12 K) in 22 games.
WS: Is Brad Holt the real deal? Is he the next Mike
Pelfrey?
TH: Yes, he's the real deal. No, he's not the next Mike Pelfrey. Although
both are tall righthanders taken in the draft's first 33 picks out of
college with big fastballs, they're different. Pelfrey uses that
vicious sinker. Holt's two-seam fastball has plenty of movement, but
sometimes there's more run than sink.
WS: With the way Mike Carp is hitting is he a September call-up?
TH:Only if the Mets decide they are desperate for a lefty bat off the
bench.
WS: Are Nick Evans, and Dan Murphy here to stay in the majors? Will they
be here in 2009?
TH: Most definitely on the first. Left field in 2008 belongs to Murphy and
Evans. Likely on the second.
I think both will probably have some role on the 2009 team but there's
both a lot of baseball left in 2008 and a long off-season between here
and Opening Day. Murphy was assigned to Arizona Fall League where it
looks likely, based on the composition of Peoria Saguaros roster, that
he'll play 2B. I like the idea of having Murphy work on his play at
second. If he can hack it defensively at the keystone, it would
maximize the value of his bat in the lineup.
Other pressing questions for
this offseason include, but aren't limited to whether the Mets
resign Perez and pick up Delgado's option. At this point, I think
resigning Perez has to be priority number one. If the Mets can't bring
him back, they'll need to find those innings somewhere else, which
could mean chasing free agents with money, or other players via
trades. Other teams could well ask about Murphy or Evans. As good or
even great as Delgado has been since Manuel took over, his option is
looking better and better. .
WS: Do you see Fernando Martinez being a September call-up? Are you
concerned with his string of injuries? Will we see him opening day in
'09?
TH: No. Yes. I would be very surprised.
As far as the injuries, as Will Carroll who covers injuries for
Baseball Prospectus is fond of saying, "staying healthy is a skill."
On the other hand, Fernando is still extremely young, and most of his
ailments have been muscle pulls rather than severe structural
problems. Given those two elements, I believe there is some hope that
he will learn how to stay on the field as he ages.
Martinez was certainly better towards the end of this season.
However, he would need a monster winter ball in the Dominican, a very
impressive spring training and an opening on the roster whether via
injury or trade to start 09 with the big club.
WS: Is the most recent injury to Brant Rustich a major setback to his
career? When should we see him pitching at Citi Field?
TH: It's a setback for sure. Injuries are never a good thing, and when
they become a pattern as has been the case with Rustich, who has been
hampered by injuries in the past, it's worse. I was trying to get a
little more information on the exact location of the break, which would
help determine the severity of the injury itself. Unless there's
something really funky in addition to the bone fracture, I'd expect
Rustich to be ready to go for Spring Training 2009.
The earliest Rustich could reasonably be expected to contribute at
Citi Field would be late 2010, although that's awfully fast and assumes
no
other setbacks and a Mets need in 2010. Under this scenario, he would
start
'09 in St. Lucie and finish at AA Binghamton. Then he would start 2010
at either Binghamton or the Mets new AAA affiliate. Assuming he's
successful he would be a candidate to provide late 2010 help as Philip
Humber did in 2007 or Jon Niese did in 2008. Keep in mind however,
that neither Humber nor Niese was all that effective in their
late-season MLB debut, so that pushes Rustich back to early 2011 as a
contributor and remember that most young pitchers take some time to
adjust to the big leagues.
WS: What are some names in the minors that Mets fans should get to know?
TH: I always think this question is hard, because I'm not sure how closely
your readers or the average fan follows the farm. For me the top Mets
pitching prospect at the moment is Brad Holt, who has already set a
Brooklyn Cyclones single season strikeout record. Sure, his curveball
needs work, and he almost never throws a changeup, but the fastball is
special. On the same staff, Jenry Mejia has another big arm. His
second pitch is the changeup, but his breaking ball has made strides
too.
I still like Francisco Pena behind the plate, he's young and he has
a lot of work to do, but there's some serious power, especially for a
catcher in that bat.
There were a lot of interesting talents in the GCL including 3B
Jefry Marte, CF Javier Rodriguez and RF Cesar Puello. Some of the
moundsmiths to watch for include Robert Carson, Jeurys Familia and Kyle
Allen.
WS:Is Wilmer Flores the next big prospect? Will he move to a new
position from SS?
TH: Yes. Likelier than not, but no need to rush the move. I don't think
there's a SS in baseball as tall as Flores is now. Flores is among the
Mets best four prospects and some believe the best.
WS: How did you become a well-known blogger of Mets minor league ball?
TH:Hey, I'll take well-known. This is the fifth season in which I've
covered this system. SNY was looking to expand its minors coverage on
its blog network, and Matt Cerrone of Metsblog.com asked me if I'd be
interested in heading the effort. And I was.
WS:
What did you do before blogging about the Mets?
TH: I've worked in baseball since the 2004 season. I broadcast minor
league games on the radio for three years in the California League and
one in the PCL. Minor league broadcasters also handle media relations,
maintain websites, design and layout programs and sell advertising and
tickets.
Last winter, I taught skiing at Heavenly Mountain Resort in South
Lake Tahoe, CA. Any Mets fans interested in improving their skiing
should give me a holler. I love talking baseball on the slopes. Also,
my years of broadcasting sports, and analyzing players' athletic
movements informs my ski instructing, which in tern informs my baseball
analysis.
WS: Is this a career you can see pursuing for many
years?
Yeah, man. I love being at the ballpark too much to want to do
something else.
TH: Are you gratified by the attention you receive?
Every second of it. One of the joys of doing what I do, is having fans
ask me questions and suggest new ways to approach a question or issue.
Hope you enjoyed the interview. Remember www.metsminorleagueblog.com is the site to go to if you're a Met Fan.